CIVIL WAR IN YEMEN / CAUSES OF ARAB SPRING IN YEMEN (PART - 2)

 CIVIL WAR IN YEMEN / ARAB SPRING IN YEMEN

CAUSES OF ARAB SPRING IN YEMEN (PART - 2)


Causes of Arab Spring:

v Long dictatorial rule

The long dictatorial rule of Saleh became one of the main reasons behind the Arab Spring conflict in Yemen. Since 1990 Saleh rule the country and in 2006 he promised to not be re-elected and participated in the election but his promise was fulfilled and he again participates in the election. Again he was selected as president of the country and Abdul Hadi who belongs to The Sunni population selected as a Vice President of the country. Saleh has a

Under Saleh's rule, Yemen faced many strongholds on state affairs, on above the military support him which raises his power and control over the state more. Problems such as unemployment, poverty, and sectarian clashes, etc. In 2011, people demanded to step down Saleh from the presidency and wanted that Hadi become a president but Saleh denied their demand and the protest started.

v Terrorism

When in 1967 British give independence to North Yemen then the area faced the serious problems of terrorism. After the 9/11 event, it was also declared that al-Queda terrorists stay in Yemen and Yemen became a haven for terrorists. On the above, Osama Bin Laden also had roots in Yemen.

v Amendment in Constitution

The amendment in the constitution became the immediate cause of the protest. Saleh took constitutional changes in which it was brought that after Saleh or after the death of Saleh his Son became the next president of the country. This constitutional change was against democracy and after that protests started.




Protest

After the constitutional change of Saleh people started the protest, against the protest Saleh used force as a result 4200 people were injured and 7600 were killed in the clashes. This street protest claimed that Saleh steps down and Hadi became president. Saleh accused that Sunni and Al-Qaeda were behind this protest.

Saleh actions

Saleh took several steps against this protest because he understood the nature of the protest. A similar protest took place in Tunisia and as a result of the protest, the government of Tunisia changed that’s why He brings the Social-economic reforms to Yemen.

1.   Increase the salaries of employs

2.   Reduce the income taxes

3.   In February 2011, he promised to not re-elected when his term ended in 2013.

4.   He also took an amendment to the proposed constitution back.

But all the reforms were rejected by the protesters and rallies conducted in Yemen.

Sana’ and protest

Sana’a became the hotspot of protest, thousands of students of Sana’a university started hugged protested and said that they didn’t leave the place until or unless Saleh steps down.

From January 2011 to March 2011 several clashes were held between the police and protestors. Which resulted in Saleh proposed another proposal.

Saleh proposal

Saleh again took a step and proposed that he drafted a new constitution which given more power to parliament and judiciary and the draft should put for a referendum before the end of 2011.

Government step against Saleh

When the protest didn’t stop then the security forces took violent acts towards people. On 18 March 2011 police in civilian clothes opened fire and killed 50 people. This act of force causes internal and external condemnation in Yemen. Diplomats also condemn the action of Saleh.

As a result, Yemeni government officials, several army units, parliament and senate members resign under the pressure.

Ø Army step:

At the end of March, one of the units of the army under  Major General Ali Mohsin announced his help to the opposite group and his troops protecting the protestors even though these increase the tension in Sana’a.

  Negotiations

The clashes between protestors and the government increased in Sana’a but Saleh refused to step down and proposed that he will leave after the election 2012 but rejected. The pressure of the situation causes the negotiations with military officers and political leaders and tribal; representations to decided the term of departure.

On March 26, in a speech Saleh said that he only transferred the power to save hands, to prevent the country of any consensus. But the negotiations backfired and fail. 

Gulf Cooperation Council proposal

After the negotiations failed, GCC proposed the plan. According to the plan Saleh was removed from the powers. Under GCC protection HE and his associated members also will leave the power And transition government formed in Yemen. The plan required the step down of Saleh after 30 days and asked the P.M to form a National Unity government that would include members of the opposition. The government would include members of the opposition in exchange for a guarantee of unity from prosecution from Saleh and his associates.

The plan is that there is no trail for his doing’ GCC took this step because of the thread of Iran based revolution in Yemen so this relaxed the Shia population.

Opposition

Yemeni people didn’t like the proposal but accepted it. They accepted the proposal from March to May 2011. The plan has been implemented and signed as an agreement between groups but on 22 May Saleh refused to sign the agreement and as a result, fighting started between the government and the opposition.

On 3 June 2011 Saleh was injured by a rocket attack on a presidential compound planted by an opposition group that left him badly injured and he left the country.

After the attack, he transferred to Saudi Arabia for medical treatment and Abdullah Mansor act as a President in his absences. In the absence of Saleh opposition tried for negotiations to removed Saleh with Yemeni officials and military deficiencies increase.

Provision of agreement

On 23 November 2011 Saleh signed an agreement to transfer the power to Hadi. This was an agreement signed between the 2 groups of Yemen. The GCC and Saudi Arabia act as a mediator.

The agreement stated that a presidential election will take place in which Hadi will be the candidate for president in Feb 2012 until then the title of the president had to Saleh.

Another provision in the agreement was that within 2 years new government formed with the new constitution in cooperation with the opposition. This is a provision given by to conformed that Saleh will be removed.

Finally, the 33 years rule of Saleh will be ended in 2012. The election took place and Hadi become the president of Yemen and the drafting of the new constitution was started.

Shia Dissatisfaction

Mansoor Hadi had close ties with Shia but during the drafting constitution, Shia Yemeni was not satisfied. In addition to its Shia community in Yemen felt marginalized by the new government of Hadi because:

1.   1. Al-Qaeda has become more strong.

2.   2.  Separated movement of Hauti began in Yemen.

 3. These 2 are the main reasons to weak the Hadi government besides unemployment, security, and food crisis.

Hauti:

Hauti is a group of people who belong to the opposite group, lawyers of Saleh, military, and government officials are also assisting this group. They have the weapons and have the training in Guerilla warfare.

The protest started because the Hadi government have time to settle things. The protest started and they fight in the Sadeh province of North, and Hauti till 2015 control the almost full Sadeh.

Protest and  Hadi:

In 2014, the Hauti take control over most of Yemen’s capital Sana’a. In the following months, the rebel seizes the Red Sea port of Hodeida.

In 2015 the Hauti hold control over the different parts of Sana’a and they were able to sorrow the presidential place and another place in Sana’a.  Hauti and forces attempted to control the entire country by seizing the place of presidential Hadi as a result also left Yemen and flew Saudi Arabia and other Arab states in the support of Hadi started Arial strikes campaign against Hauti to resolve the Hadi government. Still, Saudi Arabia banned Iran because Iran backing the hauti movement of separation of Yemen again in 2 Yemen, and also again Yemen became a proxy between Iran and Saudi Arabia. Here the Arab Spring ended and the war started in Yemen as proxy or civil.

 

Reference 

http://arabcenterdc.org/policy_analyses/a-timeline-of-the-yemen-crisis-from-the-1990s-to-the-present/

https://www.mercycorps.org/blog/quick-facts-yemen-crisis#:~:text=The%20situation%20is%20dire.,lost%20their%20sources%20of%20income.

https://www.thoughtco.com/current-situation-in-the-middle-east-2353040

https://mepc.org/journal/problems-yemen-domestic-and-foreign


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